Share 
Macquarie analysts say prediction market and event contract volume is growing faster than expected, and they now project the sector will reach $1.5 trillion by 2030.
The forecast, reported by EGR Global, also points to major expected growth for Kalshi. Macquarie estimates the operator’s volume will reach $520 billion over the next five years.
Those figures stand out because Kalshi is already one of the best-known names in U.S. prediction markets, a category that continues to draw attention from gambling and gaming observers as event-based trading products expand.
For readers tracking Kalshi, the main takeaway is that a major analyst sees substantial room for growth in the broader prediction market segment, not just in a single operator. The report specifically says event contracts are expanding faster than expected.
What the source does not detail is also important. The available report summary does not explain the assumptions behind the $1.5 trillion forecast, identify the jurisdictions most relevant to that outlook, or clarify whether the volume figures refer to trading volume, handle, or another metric.
That means the headline numbers are notable, but they should be read as analyst projections rather than confirmed market outcomes.
For now, the clearest development is that Macquarie is placing a very large long-term growth estimate on prediction markets, with Kalshi positioned as a leading operator within that outlook.
—
Source: As reported by Kadeem Simmonds.
