Who will win Super Bowl MVP has always been a highlight for sports enthusiasts. This prop bet gains significant attention as fans and bettors speculate on who will earn the prestigious title.
While quarterbacks are traditionally favored to win the MVP, there’s growing interest in the odds for other positions and players. This shift adds an intriguing layer to the betting landscape. Read on to learn insights into the Super Bowl MVP odds and favorites and how they might shape your betting strategy.
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Super Bowl MVP Favorites
Quarterbacks are always some of the favorites when predicting which player will hoist the Super Bowl Most Valuable Player trophy. Here are some of the top names in consideration for the award currently:
- Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott
- San Francisco 49ers QB Brock Purdy
- Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson
- Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen
- Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes
Non-quarterbacks are also in consideration for a possible Super Bowl MVP run. Some of those players include:
- Miami Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill
- Dallas Cowboys LB Micah Parsons
- San Francisco 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey
- Cleveland Browns DE Myles Garrett
- Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce
- San Francisco 49ers DE Nick Bosa
How Super Bowl MVP Bets Work
Understanding Super Bowl MVP betting is essential for those keen on Super Bowl prop bets. The MVP odds are presented in a list, showing each potential MVP candidate and their respective odds. These odds indicate the likelihood of each player winning the MVP award.
For instance, if Patrick Mahomes is listed with odds of -120, a bet of $120 could win $100, reflecting his higher chance of winning. Conversely, an underdog such as Brock Purdy might be listed at +187, where a $100 bet could yield a profit of $187, indicating a lower probability of winning but a higher reward.
Sportsbooks vary in their approach. Some offer extensive lists covering many players, while others focus on key skill positions and defensive players. They may also include a “field” or “other” option for players not specifically listed. This format helps bettors gauge the relative chances of different players.
The Super Bowl MVP, chosen by a combination of media member and fan votes, often generates diverse odds across various sportsbooks. This variance is especially pronounced for underdog picks. Historically, quarterbacks have dominated the MVP odds and winners list, making them usual favorites.
Comparing odds across different platforms is advisable, especially when backing less favored candidates to maximize potential winnings.
Live Betting on the Super Bowl MVP
Live betting on the Super Bowl MVP adds an exciting dimension to watching the game, allowing you to place bets based on real-time performances and changing circumstances. Here’s how it works:
- Access to in-play markets: Most top NFL betting sites provide a wide array of in-play markets once the Super Bowl kicks off. This includes live Super Bowl MVP odds.
- Dynamic odds: The live odds for the Super Bowl MVP are constantly updated throughout the game. These changes reflect the performances of key players as the game progresses. For instance, if a wide receiver scores two touchdowns in the first half, the live odds for that player being named MVP would likely decrease, indicating a higher probability of them winning the award.
- Strategic advantage: One of the benefits of live betting is the ability to observe the game and assess team dynamics before placing your bet. This can provide a strategic edge. You can gauge which players are having an impact, how teams are adjusting their strategies, and other factors that might influence the outcome.
- Continuous betting opportunity: Unlike pregame betting, where bets are placed before the game starts, live betting allows you to place bets at any point during the game. This means you can wait for a key moment or a shift in momentum to make your bet.
- Betting responsiveness: Live betting requires you to be attentive and responsive. Odds can shift quickly based on game events, so being able to act swiftly is crucial.
- Understanding the game flow: To make the most of live betting, it’s helpful to have a good understanding of football and how different events (like touchdowns, interceptions, or key defensive plays) can influence the game’s outcome and, by extension, the MVP odds.
Super Bowl MVP Betting Trends
Here’s a look at the past decade of Super Bowl MVP winners:
| Super Bowl | Player | Team | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| LVII | Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs | QB |
| LVI | Cooper Kupp | Los Angeles Rams | WR |
| LV | Tom Brady | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | QB |
| LIV | Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs | QB |
| LIII | Julian Edelman | New England Patriots | WR |
| LII | Nick Foles | Philadelphia Eagles | QB |
| LI | Tom Brady | New England Patriots | QB |
| 50 | Von Miller | Denver Broncos | LB |
| XLIX | Tom Brady | New England Patriots | QB |
| XLVIII | Malcolm Smith | Seattle Seahawks | LB |
Since the inception of the Super Bowl in 1967, a Most Valuable Player has been honored in every championship game, starting with Bart Starr of the Green Bay Packers. The quarterback position has historically dominated the MVP awards, with 32 quarterbacks receiving the honor. However, other positions have also been recognized: wide receivers and running backs have each secured the title eight times, while defensive players have been acknowledged five times, including linebackers, defensive ends, safeties, a cornerback, and a defensive tackle. A special teams player, specifically a kick returner, has claimed the MVP once: Desmond Howard in Super Bowl XXXI.
While quarterbacks remain the most frequent MVP winners, accounting for over 55% of the awards, the trend has gradually diversified in recent years. The pivotal roles played by wide receivers and running backs are increasingly being recognized, as seen in instances where players such as Cooper Kupp and Julian Edelman led their teams to victory and earned MVP honors. Similarly, standout defensive performances have also been rewarded, such as Von Miller’s in Super Bowl 50, where his exceptional play was instrumental in the Broncos’ victory.
The evolving dynamics of the game, especially the emphasis on the passing game, have made it challenging for running backs to achieve MVP-worthy performances. This shift is highlighted by Denver’s Terrell Davis being the last running back to win the MVP in Super Bowl XXXII.
Other Popular Super Bowl Prop Odds
Super Bowl prop bets are known for their variety and the fun element they add to the betting experience, providing numerous options beyond standard bets like final scores or team victories. These bets are popular at most sportsbooks, appealing to experienced gamblers and newcomers.
Here’s a look at some common Super Bowl prop bets:
Super Bowl coin toss: This straightforward bet predicts the result of the game’s initial coin toss. Its equal odds and reliance on luck make it an engaging and simple choice for many bettors.
Super Bowl National Anthem: This unique bet allows you to place wagers on various aspects of the national anthem performance, including its duration or the performer’s attire. It adds an interesting twist to one of the Super Bowl’s iconic segments.
Super Bowl player props: These bets delve into individual player statistics, allowing predictions on a quarterback’s total touchdowns, a running back’s rushing yards, a receiver’s catches, or defensive actions such as sacks and interceptions. It’s a way to closely follow key players’ game performance.
Super Bowl team props: These bets focus on team-based outcomes. Options include betting on which team scores first, the total number of turnovers for each team, the overall number of field goals scored, or specific occurrences like a team achieving a safety.
Super Bowl first touchdown scorer: Place your bets on who you think will be the first to score a touchdown in the game. This bet adds excitement as you predict which player will make an early mark.
Is It Ever Good to Bet on a Repeat SB MVP Winner?
Betting on a repeat Super Bowl MVP winner can be a strategic decision, though it depends on various factors:
- Player’s track record and current form: If the player has consistently shown high-performance levels and is in good form leading up to the Super Bowl, betting on a repeat MVP could be a wise choice.
- Team strength and strategy: The player’s team must be strong enough to reach and potentially win the Super Bowl again. The team’s strategy and how central the player is to it also matter.
- Historical precedence: Repeat MVPs are rare in Super Bowl history, so betting on one involves understanding the rarity of such an occurrence.
- Odds and value: If the odds offered for the player are favorable and present good value based on your assessment, it might be worth considering.
- Player position: Since quarterbacks are more likely to win MVP, a repeat bet on a quarterback could be more plausible than on players in other positions.
- Matchup analysis: Consider the matchup dynamics in the specific Super Bowl. If the player and his team have a clear advantage or the player has historically excelled against the opponent, it might increase the chances of a repeat MVP performance.
Winning multiple Super Bowl MVP awards is a rare feat that requires exceptional talent and skill.
Tom Brady stands out as the sole player to have achieved this distinction five times, earning four of these awards with the New England Patriots and once with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Joe Montana has won the title three times. Meanwhile, a select group of players, including Bart Starr, Terry Bradshaw, Eli Manning, and Patrick Mahomes, have each been honored with the Super Bowl MVP award twice. Notably, Starr and Bradshaw have the unique distinction of winning the award in consecutive years.