2020 PGA Championship Odds, Betting Preview: Justin Thomas The Favorite

Posted on August 5, 2020 - Last Updated on August 7, 2020

The 2020 PGA Championship tees off on Thursday at TPC Harding Park in San Francisco. Let’s take a look at the first golf major of the year from a betting and daily fantasy perspective.

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DraftKings offering $1 million jackpot contest

DraftKings is offering $3 million in prizes ($1 million to first place) in its “$3M Fantasy Golf Millionaire” contest. For a $20 entry fee, players can choose six golfers within a $50,000 budget. As of Tuesday afternoon, more than 50,000 people have signed up. Here is the prize payout breakdown:

  • 1st: $1,000,000
  • 2nd: $150,000
  • 3rd: $75,000
  • 4th: $50,000
  • 5th: $30,000
  • 6th: $20,000
  • 7th-8th: $15,000
  • 9th-10th: $10,000

Any user who finishes in the top 39,750 will win at least $30.

Justin Thomas, fresh off of a PGA Tour win last weekend, carries the heftiest price tag of any player at $11,300. DraftKings is also offering a “PGA $500K Drive the Green” contest, where $100,000 goes to first place. That game is $5 to enter.

2020 PGA Championship odds

Here’s a look at the full odds board for the event:

PlayerDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGM
Justin Thomas+800+1100+900
Brooks Koepka+1000+1100+1000
Bryson Dechambeau+1100+1200+1400
Rory McIlroy+1100+1200+1200
Jon Rahm+1200+1300+1200
Dustin Johnson+1800+2200+2200
Patrick Cantlay+2000+2800+3000
Webb Simpson+2000+2300+2500
Tiger Woods+2000+2800+2500
Xander Schauffele+2200+2200+2200
Rickie Fowler+2500+3300+3300
Collin Morikawa+2800+3000+3300
Hideki Matsuyama+3300+4000+3300
Patrick Reed+3300+4000+4000
Viktor Hovland+3300+4000+3300
Jason Day+4000+4000+4000
Tony Finau+4000+3500+3300
Matthew Fitzpatrick+4000+4200+5000
Tommy Fleetwood+4000+4500+4000
Tyrrell Hatton+4000+4000+4500
Justin Rose+4000+5000+5000
Adam Scott+4000+5000+5000
Jordan Spieth+4500+4000+5000
Sungjae Im+5000+7000+8000
Gary Woodland+5000+4500+4000
Daniel Berger+5000+4700+6000

If you’re looking to play the DraftKings contest mentioned above, it’s worth looking at the betting odds to find value and potential pricing discrepancies.

Rickie Fowler stands out there. At $8,300, he’s the 15th-most expensive player at DraftKings but he’s 11th on their odds board.

Some others who may be undervalued for daily using that logic: Bryson DeChambeau, Tony Finau and Dustin Johnson.

And on the flip side of that: Daniel Berger, Jason Day and Xander Schauffele.

It’s easy to see why Thomas is the consensus favorite, as he’s the No. 1 player in the world right now and won last weekend. Thomas also won the PGA Championship in 2017, but sat out 2019 due to a wrist injury.

Any faith in Tiger?

Tiger Woods enjoyed a massive bounceback season in 2019, but he’s only played in one Tour event since March. He finished 40th at The Memorial.

And yet, Woods is tied for the seventh-shortest odds at DraftKings and is in a similar spot at FanDuel and BetMGM. His resume obviously speaks for itself, but the spot on the odds board feels a bit high considering that most of his competition has been playing far more regularly than he has.

Woods’ DFS price tag is $9,200, which ranks ninth.

Accuracy off tee will be paramount

As noted over at our sister site The Lines, the rough at TPC Harding is unusually long and high. Fairways are also relatively close to bunkers, so accuracy off the tee will be especially crucial.

It looks like the weather will be in the mid-60s with winds reaching up to 15 mph. There are six par 4s at the course, with one of those over 500 yards. With that in mind, here are the Tour’s top five players in par 4 scoring:

  • Tyrrell Hatton
  • Webb Simpson
  • Bryson DeChambeau
  • Justin Thomas
  • Xander Schauffele

The usual suspects are there for the most part, but Hatton may be worth a look as a bit of a longshot. The 2020 PGA Championship tees off at 7 a.m. PT on Thursday.

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